"AI washing" vs AI native

We talk a lot about AI, but an important truth is that we build software. AI is software. It is software with novel capabilities (and limitations!) but it is software nevertheless. It's not magic, it's not going to topple the human race or unmake reality, but it does have the potential to change an awful lot of things very quickly.

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The 2025 narrative

Tell me if this sounds familiar: AI is gaining reasoning ability at an exponential rate. Before long, it will have the capacity to replace all work and upend human society.

Or how about this: in the next few years, we will see the first billion dollar company operated solely by an AI agent.

Or maybe this:

What AI does and doesn't do

We have a more subtle view of what AI does and doesn't do. Note that when I refer to AI in this context, I am largely referring to the LLMs, Generative AI, and other systems that use some kind of statistical weighting to answer users requests in a non-deterministic fashion. Which is a fancy way of saying software that does some wild stuff.

• AI doesn't "reason" in the way that a lot of the hype implies. Reasoning itself is very hard to define, but we think that most people imagine some kind of blend of logical and creative processes that create an accurate, reproducible understanding of something.
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